Our 2007 Fantasy Football Draft

We try not to be too self-indulgent here at RotoScoop, but examining others’ drafts can be a pretty helpful tool in preparing for your own. Saturday we started our ninth annual Fantasy Football Draft. Get ready for a round-by-round blow of the action, starting with the first four rounds (Scoring is pretty standard: 1 QB, 2 WRs, 2 RBs and a flex with 0.5 points per reception).

Dalton’s Strategy – This year, I think it’s pretty important to draft two backs in the first couple of rounds. There are about 16 WRs with similar value who can usually be had in rounds three and four. As always, wait on the QB position.

Robby’s Strategy
– I am usually pretty conservative when it comes to drafting. I want solid, consistent guys who will get me to the playoffs because once you are there, it is anyone’s ballgame. I also look for guys with favorable matchups during the playoffs (weeks 14-16) and use that as a tiebreaker when deciding on similar talents. While this strategy (and some luck) has allowed me to make the playoffs all eight years that we have played, I haven’t won a title since repeating the first two years. I also like to load up on solid starting running backs early because the flex position causes RB talent to fall off significantly more quickly than WRs.

ROUND ONE

1. LaDainian Tomlinson
2. Steven Jackson
3. Joseph Addai (Robby)
4. Frank Gore
5. Travis Henry (DDD)

6. Larry Johnson
7. Shaun Alexander
8. Laurence Maroney
9. Brian Westbrook
10. Rudi Johnson
11. Willie Parker
12. Willis McGahee

Dalton Says

My Pick: There is a clear-cut top-4 (Larry Johnson no longer qualifies with the holdout, record setting-touches issue. Although he is a beast). So while I could have almost certainly gotten Henry later, he wasn’t coming back to me in Round 2, and he was the highest on my board, so I pulled the trigger. Literally four hours later he’s limping off the field with a potential season-ending knee injury. I am going to write extensively on Henry later on, but I obviously wouldn’t have been so aggressive selecting him after the injury occurred.

Best Pick: LaDainian Tomlinson, but that’s no fun. I like Maroney at No. 8 and Parker at No. 12 especially.

Worst Pick: I’ve already said it, but McGahee is going way too high for my taste.

Robby Says

My Pick: While Frank Gore is the consensus No. 3 pick in most drafts, I went with the inferior talent on the superior offense. Addai is the safer option in my book.

Best Pick: Injury rumblings caused Willie Parker’s stock to drop a bit, but he is still a top 6-7 pick on my board.

Worst Pick: Peyton Manning and Willis McGahee are great picks on the wheel for the 2nd and 3rd round, not the 1st and 2nd.

ROUND TWO

13. Peyton Manning
14. Ronnie Brown
15. Maurice Jones-Drew
16. Reggie Bush
17. Cedric Benson
18. Clinton Portis
19. Marshawn Lynch
20. Brandon Jacobs (DDD)
21. Steve Smith
22. Terrell Owens (Robby)
23. Deuce McAllister
24. Thomas Jones

Dalton Says

My Pick: I’m not particularly high on Jacobs and consider him an injury risk, but at least he’s slated to get most of the work, including the goal line duties. Not many other options at RB can say that at this point, and I still see 16 WRs I’d be happy to employ. Jacobs is also the type of unknown pick who could blow up. However, he’s also quite risky.

Best Pick: Jones-Drew and Reggie Bush. If you don’t get a top-4 pick this year, try to aim for No. 12 and get two RB1 types at the wheel.

Worst Pick: Manning went 2-3 rounds too high.

Robby Says

My Pick: With Dalton and his fiancée stealing Brandon Jacobs and Steve Smith respectively, I was forced to reach at either WR or RB. Ultimately, I went with Terrell Owens, who sits as my clear-cut No. 2 wideout and has a great fantasy playoff schedule.

Best Pick: Reggie Bush fell about 4-5 spots too far. I like him more than MJD…

Worst Pick: Deuce McAllister will be hard pressed to match last year’s numbers.

ROUND THREE

25. Marvin Harrison
26. Chad Johnson
27. Edgerrin James (Robby)

28. Adrian Peterson
29. Reggie Wayne (DDD)
30. Carson Palmer
31. Michael Turner
32. Torry Holt
33. Randy Moss
34. Roy Williams
35. Antonio Gates
36. Larry Fitzgerald

Dalton Says

My Pick: I really, really wanted “AD” here but got swooped on one pick before my turn. If Jacobs wasn’t there for me the previous round, I probably would’ve taken Peterson in Round 2. Anyway, Wayne is the No. 2 WR on my board, so I was happy to get him in the middle of round 3. Marvin Harrison is going to start aging one of these years, right?

Best Pick: I have a man-passion for Peterson, but other than him, I really liked the Gates pick. I strongly considered him myself.

Worst Pick: If LaDainian Tomlinson wasn’t in the picture, Turner would have been a legitimate first round pick. However, he probably could have gone a little later.

Robby Says

My Pick: While I was incredibly low on him last year (I had him ranked 11th among running backs while almost everyone else’s rankings had him well into the top-10), and Dalton lit into his high ADP just last week, Edgerrin James fell into my lap at 27, and I just had to take him. He can’t be any worse than last year, can he? Can he??? On second thought, maybe I should’ve taken Holt or Wayne…

Best Pick: Antonio Gates will put up comparable numbers to the WRs and RBs picked in his range.

Worst Pick: Michael Turner was a reach and a half. Good golly.

ROUND FOUR

37. Jamal Lewis
38. T.J. Houshmandzadeh
39. Marques Colston
40. Vince Young
41. Lee Evans
42. Anquan Boldin
43. Plaxico Burress
44. Javon Walker (DDD)
45. Reggie Brown
46. Carnell Williams (Robby)
47. Tom Brady
48. Donald Driver

Dalton Says

My Pick: Folks, he showed up to practice the day after having his best friend die in his arms wearing a still-bloodied shirt (which he still owns, by the way). Has there ever been a more motivated athlete in the history of professional sports? Walker had a scare with his knee last week, but hopefully it was just scar tissue breaking up, and theoretically, he should be even more explosive in this his second year removed from surgery. Sure, his numbers declined when Jay Cutler took over last year, but all signs point to the second-year signal caller being a good one, and his superior arm strength should result in plenty of long hookups. With Travis Henry and Walker, I’m putting an awful lot of eggs in the Broncos’ basket.

Best Pick: Nine of the 12 picks this round were wide receivers, and I can’t argue with any of them. Of course, I love Vince Young’s fantasy prospects this season, but I was hoping Lee Evans fell to me. I seriously considered taking him with my previous pick and have him easily ranked as a top-5 WR.

Worst Pick: As previously mentioned, I don’t see Jamal Lewis being worthy of a top-10 round pick.

Robby Says

My Pick: Wow, first Edge James and now Cadillac Williams?! Two first-round talents from the ’06 draft just fell into my lap. Seriously, while ‘Dre Johnson, the last elite WR, was tempting, Caddy should find paydirt more than once this year with the departure of Mike Alstott, and Jon Gruden wants him to catch 60 balls. I’d be happy with 50.

Best Pick: As the proud owner of Lee Evans last year, it was tough to see him go. The man has some serious talent.

Worst Pick: Put Jamal Lewis in a body bag.

(Note: We’ll continue with draft analysis later this week)


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17 responses to “Our 2007 Fantasy Football Draft”

  1. Brett Avatar

    MY favorite comment of the entire post was “Dalton’s fiance’ stealing Steve Smith.”

    DDD you are the man.

  2. Kritter Avatar
    Kritter

    Interesting draft so far, u guys have some interesting stratagies. I can’t wait to see how these teams come out.

  3. Keith Avatar
    Keith

    Addai over Gore and Henry at #5…interesting. I’ve been trying hard to figure out where I think Henry belongs, and that was before the injury, and I’m still really not sure. Are Benson and Lynch worth high 2nd round picks? I’m scared of Ronnie Brown, like Jacobs (though I’d love him in the 3rd), and am trying to figure out where A.Peterson should go. Edge in 3 seems pretty good to me, though as someone who owned Lamont Jordan, Edge, and Caddy in leagues last year, it’s going to be tough to take them somewhat early, even though they’re all poised to improve greatly this year.

    In a scoring system that favors the QB more (6-pt TD and 20 yards/point), how much higher do you move the QB’s? Think it’s still a better idea to wait on a Bulger/Brady/Romo/McNabb type over a Palmer/Manning?

  4. db Avatar
    db

    Not very comparable league-wise (we use 6pt passing TDs, 3 starting WRs, no flex) but again great info, I like your guys comments on who you picked and why especially.

    Addai over Gore? Not me for sure… Gore is a beast… I prefer the talent over the safe pick.

    THenry… that’s higher than I’m used to seeing as well. Hmmm… gotta think on that one. I’ll look forward to hearing more.

    Also surprising though was probably the love for APeterson and Lee Evans from both of you guys. Considering APete in the 2nd and taking in the 3rd? And Lee Evans a top 5 wr?

    Great stuff…

  5. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Thanks Brett….yes, Kritter, just wait and see this ridiculous team I’ve assembled….

  6. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Keith – I’d feel more comfortable getting Jacobs in the 3rd too, but no way that was happening in this draft…yes, I’d still wait on QBs. Sure, their value increases since they’ll put up more points, but the fact remains you’ll be able to get a guy worth 75% of their production numerous rounds later. At least theoretically – as long as your confident you can land a (Bulger/Brady) later on. The same can’t be said about RBs. The drop off is drastic.

  7. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I’ll write more on Henry, APete and Evans, but yeah, I’m very, very high on all three. Our draft is crazy – if you can target those guys a little later, you won’t be sorry.

  8. Kritter Avatar

    I am waiting, with the LJ signing though, I bet whoever got him #6 is psyched!!!

  9. tvac Avatar
    tvac

    Would you guys trade LT (I have first pick this year) for Addai and a 3rd round pick in a high performance league that gives 6pts for a td to qbs and .5 ppr for receivers and .25 ppr for rbs?

    I traded my 6th and 7th round picks last year trying to improve for the playoffs and need to get back some picks. I don’t know if I want to do it but LT scares me since he is old, coming off a career year and has a different coach. I had SA last year after his career year and I got burned. Research shows that LT is bound for a fall off maybe even substantial.

    Help?

  10. tvac Avatar
    tvac

    Oh btw we start 2 rb, 3wr and a tight end with no flex.

  11. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    Seems like an even and fair trade for both sides to me. Obviously, if LT has a similar season this year as he did last, he’d be worth a first, second and third round pick, but I agree, he does come with some risk this time around. That said, so does every other back really. I would normally recommend you don’t do this deal (although I am very high on Addai), but since you lack depth (no 6/7 rounders) it actually makes sense for you to do it.

  12. tvac Avatar
    tvac

    Ended up keeping the first pick and grabbed LT. Second round got R. Wayne and then the come around took Gates. In the 4th I got Braylon Edwards and then the come back took Peterson. I was lucky enough to snag Chester Taylor and Turner for insurance but it did cost me some depth. My last pick was Chris Brown. Nobody in the league took him and while I really didnt want to grab another rb I figured I had to take him.

    Here is my team:

    QB: Bulger
    RB1: LT
    RB2: Taylor/Petersen
    WR1: Wayne
    WR2: Edwards
    WR3: Marshall
    TE: Gates
    D: Green Bay
    K: Nujent (15th round and he doesnt have a bye until week 10 lol)

    Reserves:
    QB: Roethlisberger
    RB: Brown
    RB: Turner
    WR: Crayton
    WR: Ginn Jr.
    TE: Watson

    In our league you can start 2 rb 3 wr and 2 te or 1 rb, 1 te and 4 wr. I am thinking I could be forced to start 2 tight ends if my third receiver doesnt pan out but there wasnt much left to draft at receiver after I had to sit out for a round.

  13. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    I like what you did. Getting Wayne and Gates were shrewd moves, but the fact you were able to snag Peterson so much later to shore up your RB2 made it even better. I like Marshall’s potential, but I agree, Watson may be starting for you quite bit – but that might not turn out to be such a terrible thing, despite the fact no one wants to go with two TEs. Edwards is going to breakout, and I like your depth with your handcuffs and Big Ben. Well done.

  14. Dreamweapon Avatar
    Dreamweapon

    Thanks so much, again, Dalton, for your time and analysis, I definitely appreciate. I’ve been out most of the week on a huge project at work, but I’m going to try to spin off one or both of those Panther backs for a QB like we discussed. I’m feeling pretty good now, it should be an exciting season. I’m desperate to regain some decent form after a Portis-Brown-led flameout last season (two broken hands…..what are the odds? Probably about the same that I’d lose both Teixeira and Upton to quad injuries the same weeks….oh, whoops, nevermind). I’m very happy to see Steve Smith atop your WR list, as well. !Salud!

  15. tvac Avatar
    tvac

    Guys, two things:

    1. Do I start Petersen early in the season or wait for him to supplant Taylor and go with Taylor?

    2. My buddy went to a Carolina preseason game and actually got to talk to Steve Smith. My buddy asked Smith what kind of year he was going to have and he said “2000 yards and 14 tds”. My buddy then asked if he should take him first in his fantasy draft and Smith looked at him funny and said “No take me third…you need a good rb and qb in fantasy!”

    Too funny!

  16. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    No problem Dreamweapon – I’ll be here all year for some back and forth. Let me know if you pull off any deals. Steve Smith is the man.

  17. RotoScoop Avatar
    RotoScoop

    TV –

    1. Depends on who your debating between with Peterson. I think he’ll be worth starting right away, for the most part. I plan on unveiling weekly lineup rankings next week, so stay tuned.

    2. Good stuff, although he needs to visit RotoScoop to learn you need to wait on QBs in fantasy football.

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